Pretend the EU is a single country. Then you'll have a comparable land area and population compared to the US. Do the results still look dramatically different?
-Uwe-
Yep, the slope of the curve in the US is lower. For the first 25-30 days, they were almost the same, but then it diverged. I am not sure why.But the death statistics are a tad different - see HERE. Not sure why-perhaps population age profile, healthcare standards, general population health?
Yep, the slope of the curve in the US is lower. For the first 25-30 days, they were almost the same, but then it diverged. I am not sure why.
I'm going to screen-shot this just for posterity:
-Uwe-
OK, I guess we're conflating "Europe" (50 countries, 740-some million people) and the European Union (27 countries, 440-some million people).The population of Europe is substantially higher at 741M opposed to the US' 330M
Uwe: hmm......... I'm still interested in exploring my hypothesis that "confederation density" is as important as population density in determining COVID death performance.
But on further reflection, I suspect that the calculation basis for the graph is too complex as a comparison metric. However, I like your suggestion to consider the Continent of Europe as a surrogate.
If I avoid what I suspect are confounders in the "cumulative days" graph and if I look instead on the simpler metric of total deaths - I get the following (all numbers taken from www.worldmeters webpage):
Europe= 44 x "countries". Total deaths (as of today) = 155,762. Infections = 1,675,742. Population = 747,575,057.
USA = 50 x States, Total deaths (as of today) = 83,377, Infections = 1,408,155. Population = 331,002,651
So,
Europe = 0.021% deaths/person
USA =0.025% deaths/person
Europe= 0.224% infections/person
USA = 0.425% infections/person
So - based on these more simple numbers, it seems that despite having twice the infection rate, USA appears to have about the same death rate.
Don
You are right, thank you for the figures. I don't know anybody in person who had this virus to be honest. I have a friend who lives in his property in Italy and he wrote me that his country is starting to open up slowly, at least they can do sport in parks and on the beaches now.
“Looking back, I wish I would have worn a mask a month ago, but how was I supposed to know, I didn’t know anybody who had it,” he said.
A bit more detail:[h=1]New study suggests vitamin D is linked to COVID-19 mortality — how a common vitamin could become pivotal[/h]
Maybe not. Here's some light reading for you, Jack:55 to 82% huh?
Nor can we count on one in the foreseeable future. There has never been a vaccine for corona viruses in humans. There have been some for pets and livestock, but they do not confer permanent immunity, and some of the earliest ones for cats actually ended up making matters worse.So far, there is no proven vaccine