Page 8 of 11 FirstFirst ... 678910 ... LastLast
Results 71 to 80 of 102

Thread: Corona Virus COVID-19 and the effect for Ross-Tech

  1. #71
    Benevolent Dictator Uwe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    27,069
    Post Thanks / Like
    Blog Entries
    1
    Quote Originally Posted by PetrolDave View Post
    So I expect we'll be seeing more queries of the type "My car is saying I need a service but I can't get it serviced as the garages/dealers are closed so I can I stop my car telling me I need a service?"
    Are the car repair facilities in the UK shut down?

    In the US, vehicle maintenance and repair facilities, as well as their suppliers, are considered "essential" businesses and are not shut down anywhere that I know of. As we are a supplier to that industry, Ross-Tech is also fits the category of "essential".

    Of course, as already mentioned in this thread, we have done everything humanly possible to prevent spread in our operation, with almost everyone working from home, and only one person in the office most of the time.

    -Uwe-
    Last edited by Uwe; 03-26-2020 at 10:41 AM.
    The engineering problems are likely insurmountable. It would be like proposing to land a rocket booster section on a barge floating in the middle of the ocean.

  2. Likes Jack@European_Parts liked this post
  3. #72
    NostraJackAss Jack@European_Parts's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    1001 State Route 17K Montgomery New York 12549
    Posts
    18,672
    Post Thanks / Like
    Auto-Shops are indeed essential but I can tell you traffic in shops are way down here in NY and parts supply houses are also very slow when talking to parts managers in dealers.

    DMV registrations and drivers licences non driver ID or vehicle SMOG/SAFETY inspections have been extended during this emergency without a penalty.

    https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/no-...state-new-york

    https://www.governor.ny.gov/sites/go...les/EO_202.pdf

    Does this mean that vehicles can be driven on public highways without a registration or insurance, it seems so, no?
    Last edited by Jack@European_Parts; 03-26-2020 at 10:50 AM.
    European Parts Emporium/Performance / Immobilizer Solutions EPE
    Certified Master Trained NY/BAR/BAD 7076062/ASE/SAE/NASTF Legal Factory Authorized/Licensed GeKo/FaZit # 403738
    Specializing in Custom Services IE: "welding-fabrication" / EPA-SMOG Update or Pass-Thru-Programming / Data Transfer / Immobilizers & OEM Quality Parts
    Above Magic! No Written record, AUTO-SCAN or Appointment = NO HELP!
    www.FixMyEuro.com <<<<<CLICK HERE! or vwemporium@aol.com ( JPPSG & Unverified members need not PM me & Please don't email or call facility for free tech support...use the forum )
    Getting you CONTROL again of your property - TAKE IT! In Conjunction with.........

  4. #73
    Verified VCDS User PetrolDave's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2014
    Location
    South Molton, UK
    Posts
    2,992
    Post Thanks / Like
    Quote Originally Posted by Uwe View Post
    Are the car repair facilities in the UK shut down?
    The UK Government emergency powers say that only car showrooms need to shut down, but most dealers have decided to close their entire operations including workshops.

    There are some independent repair facilities closing because of either fears about it being impractical to maintain the 2m (6.5 ft) spacing between people, and some because their staff have gone into self isolation - so servicing in some areas has become either difficult or impossible.

    Hence, the 6 month MOT extension and my thought that many owners will want/have to delay servicing and seek to delay the "nag message" for 6 months.

  5. #74
    Benevolent Dictator Uwe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    27,069
    Post Thanks / Like
    Blog Entries
    1
    Thanks for clarifying, Dave.

    -Uwe-
    The engineering problems are likely insurmountable. It would be like proposing to land a rocket booster section on a barge floating in the middle of the ocean.

  6. #75
    Benevolent Dictator Uwe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    27,069
    Post Thanks / Like
    Blog Entries
    1
    So this is pretty interesting.

    https://www.newscientist.com/article...pert-predicts/

    So who is Neil Ferguson?

    He's the British epidemiologist who predicted over 2 million Americans and 500k Brits would die from coronavirus using his previous model, which went viral, and was a major influence on the UK's decision to lock down. But now he's predicting, "UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower."

    What's not clear tome is exactly why he's changed his estimate by a factor of 25.

    -Uwe-
    The engineering problems are likely insurmountable. It would be like proposing to land a rocket booster section on a barge floating in the middle of the ocean.

  7. Likes Jetta ,97 liked this post
  8. #76
    FoRT jyoung8607's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    Cincinnati, OH
    Posts
    2,419
    Post Thanks / Like
    Quote Originally Posted by Uwe View Post
    So this is pretty interesting.

    https://www.newscientist.com/article...pert-predicts/

    So who is Neil Ferguson?

    He's the British epidemiologist who predicted over 2 million Americans and 500k Brits would die from coronavirus using his previous model, which went viral, and was a major influence on the UK's decision to lock down. But now he's predicting, "UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower."

    What's not clear tome is exactly why he's changed his estimate by a factor of 25.

    -Uwe-
    Possibly because the early model shows the catastrophic effect of doing nothing, and following the advice of subject matter experts on how to avoid most of the catastrophe, combined with seeing what happened in China, they are avoiding most of the catastrophe. As the article you linked to outlines.

    If you're looking for mountains of actual data: https://duckduckgo.com/?q=covid-19+d...d&t=hb&ia=news

    Let's make it a little personal: https://covidactnow.org/state/FL

    If you're looking for subtle-as-a-sledgehammer transparent dog-whistling: https://duckduckgo.com/?q=wuhanic+plague&t=hb&ia=web
    (oh look, Free Republic on the frontpage of results, color me shocked)
    Silence gives consent.

  9. #77
    Benevolent Dictator Uwe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    27,069
    Post Thanks / Like
    Blog Entries
    1
    Quote Originally Posted by jyoung8607 View Post
    Possibly because the early model shows the catastrophic effect of doing nothing, and following the advice of subject matter experts on how to avoid most of the catastrophe, combined with seeing what happened in China, they are avoiding most of the catastrophe. As the article you linked to outlines.
    In order for this to work, you'd have to lock the entire world down long enough to eliminate every last reservoir of this virus, or lock down a country or region long enough to eliminate every last reservoir within, and seal its borders. If you don't, the moment you remove the restrictions, it comes right back and starts spreading again, and all you've done is to delay it.

    Unless of course there are other factors at play that the western world doesn't understand yet. Why hasn't the spread resumed in China? They're open for business again. It is simply not plausible that they've eliminated all reservoirs there. OK, data out of China must be taken with a lot of salt. How about South Korea? They seem to have gotten things under control with minimal disruption. How is that possible? Ditto for several other countries in Asia that had cases earlier than we did.

    Quote Originally Posted by jyoung8607 View Post
    Let's make it a little personal: https://covidactnow.org/state/FL
    That's a cool, but extremely simplistic model that's based on some very questionable assumptions, many of which are based on the Imperial College paper that I referenced above; the one that previously predicted 500k deaths in the UK.

    This model uses a CFR of 1.1%, which is not unreasonable based on the currently reported/confirmed cases. However we know for a fact that a considerable percentage of cases are completely asymptomatic, or have very mild symptoms, and thus are not included in the denominator of that calculation. But let's ignore that for the moment. The model also assumes an additional 1.0% CFR if hospitals are overloaded. This implies you can cut the total number of deaths by approximately half if you slow things down enough that everyone gets treated. It does not come anywhere close to explaining Dr. Ferguson's factor of 25 reduction in the the total number of deaths.

    Do you know what might explain it? This Oxford paper. Based on its modelling, a whole lot of people have already had the WuFlu, but had such mild (or even totally asymptomatic) cases of it that they were never reported, and they now have some level of immunity. Now I doubt it's really 50%, but even if it's only 5%, that means there simply aren't very many doublings left before herd immunity is reached and this thing peters out. This would also explain what we're seeing in Asia.

    Quote Originally Posted by jyoung8607 View Post
    If you're looking for subtle-as-a-sledgehammer transparent dog-whistling: https://duckduckgo.com/?q=wuhanic+plague&t=hb&ia=web
    Since when have you known me to be subtle?

    -Uwe-
    The engineering problems are likely insurmountable. It would be like proposing to land a rocket booster section on a barge floating in the middle of the ocean.

  10. Likes Jack@European_Parts liked this post
  11. #78
    NostraJackAss Jack@European_Parts's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    1001 State Route 17K Montgomery New York 12549
    Posts
    18,672
    Post Thanks / Like


    Since when have you known me to be subtle?

    -Uwe-
    This is reasonable and maybe accurate, however, I have witnessed very tactful behavior!




    It does not come anywhere close to explaining Dr. Ferguson's factor of 25 reduction in the the total number of deaths.

    Possibly Persuaded?

    Example.
    A salted metal barrel was installed in someone's orifice you choose to taste\feel it?
    European Parts Emporium/Performance / Immobilizer Solutions EPE
    Certified Master Trained NY/BAR/BAD 7076062/ASE/SAE/NASTF Legal Factory Authorized/Licensed GeKo/FaZit # 403738
    Specializing in Custom Services IE: "welding-fabrication" / EPA-SMOG Update or Pass-Thru-Programming / Data Transfer / Immobilizers & OEM Quality Parts
    Above Magic! No Written record, AUTO-SCAN or Appointment = NO HELP!
    www.FixMyEuro.com <<<<<CLICK HERE! or vwemporium@aol.com ( JPPSG & Unverified members need not PM me & Please don't email or call facility for free tech support...use the forum )
    Getting you CONTROL again of your property - TAKE IT! In Conjunction with.........

  12. #79
    Benevolent Dictator Uwe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    27,069
    Post Thanks / Like
    Blog Entries
    1
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack@European_Parts View Post
    This is reasonable and maybe accurate, however, I have witnessed very tactful behavior!
    Tactful and subtle are not synonymous.

    Watch this, and listen carefully:
    https://www.c-span.org/video/?c48640...-birx-modeling

    Birx was a doomer until today.

    Selected quotes:

    "In the models, either you have to have a large group of people who are asymptomatic, who've never presented for any test, in order to have the kind of numbers that were predicted..."

    "So either, we're only measuring the tip of the iceberg of the symptomatic cases, and underneath it are a large group of people [...] or we have the transmission completely wrong, because..."

    "The predictions of the models don't match the realities on the ground in either China, South Korea, or Italy."

    Alternate, somewhat more complete video link:
    https://youtu.be/q4o7nryuJao?t=6166

    -Uwe-
    The engineering problems are likely insurmountable. It would be like proposing to land a rocket booster section on a barge floating in the middle of the ocean.

  13. #80
    NostraJackAss Jack@European_Parts's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    1001 State Route 17K Montgomery New York 12549
    Posts
    18,672
    Post Thanks / Like
    Tactful and subtle are not synonymous
    I thought it was huh but I'm no literary genius either?

    subtle


    Search Modes
    Search Results
    DICTIONARY
    tactful×
    tact·ful
    /ˈtak(t)fəl/
    Learn to pronounce
    adjective
    adjective: tactful
    having or showing tact.
    "they need a tactful word of advice"
    Similar:
    considerate
    sensitive
    understanding
    thoughtful
    delicate
    diplomatic
    discreet
    discerning
    judicious
    politic
    perceptive
    subtle
    careful
    courteous
    cordial
    polite
    decorous
    seemly
    respectful
    savvy
    mannerly
    Opposite:
    tactless
    indiscreet
    gauche
    Translate tactful to
    Use over time for: tactful

    From Oxford


    When was the last time a government official didn't equivocate or speak in disingenuous words?
    European Parts Emporium/Performance / Immobilizer Solutions EPE
    Certified Master Trained NY/BAR/BAD 7076062/ASE/SAE/NASTF Legal Factory Authorized/Licensed GeKo/FaZit # 403738
    Specializing in Custom Services IE: "welding-fabrication" / EPA-SMOG Update or Pass-Thru-Programming / Data Transfer / Immobilizers & OEM Quality Parts
    Above Magic! No Written record, AUTO-SCAN or Appointment = NO HELP!
    www.FixMyEuro.com <<<<<CLICK HERE! or vwemporium@aol.com ( JPPSG & Unverified members need not PM me & Please don't email or call facility for free tech support...use the forum )
    Getting you CONTROL again of your property - TAKE IT! In Conjunction with.........

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •